CHAPTER ONE
Background to the study.
According to Cooper (1971), currency
devaluation is one of the most traumatic economic policy measures that a
government may undertake and as a result, most governments are
reluctant to devalue their currencies. However, a country can be forced
into devaluation by an ominous trade deficit. Thailand, China, Mexico,
Czech Republic - all devalued strongly, willingly or unwillingly, after
their trade deficits exceeded 8% of the GDP. Devaluation of currency is
decided by the government issuing the currency, and is the result of
governmental activities. One reason a country may devalue its currency
is to combat trade imbalances. Devaluation causes a country's exports to
become less expensive, making them more competitive on the global
market. This in turn means that imports are more expensive, making
domestic consumers less likely to purchase them. By making the domestic
currency relatively cheaper (i.e devaluation), local production and
exportation of commodities is thereby encouraged.
This helps to enhance the level of output growth of the economy (Aguiar, 2005) cited in (Momodu and Akani 2016:152)
Currency devaluation is a deliberate
downward adjustment of the value of a country’s currency relative to
another currency or standard currency (usually dollars). It is one ofthe
tools of monetary policy to stabilize the economy most especially the
less developed ones operating fixed exchange rate or semi-fixed exchange
rate.Devaluation increases international competitiveness of domestic
industries which leads to diversion of consumption of foreign goods to
domestic goods (Yilkal, 2014) cited in (Osundina 2016: 1944). It is used
to encourage exportation, discourage importation and to correct
unfavourable balance of payment by making home goods cheaper to
foreign countries and foreign goods expensive in the home country.
Statement of the problem.
The Nigerian government adopted the
Nigerian pound since 1959 until 1973 where it was changed to Naira. In
1971 the Nigerian authorities chose not to devalue its Nigerian pound
during the devaluation process of the American dollar and this resulted
in the appreciation of the Nigerian pound dollar exchange rate $2.80
-$3.80 to the naira pound. In 1973 the naira replaced the Nigerian pound
and then Nigeria devalued at the same rate with the US which caused the
exchange rate to be $1.5 (Ogundipe et al 2013:234). According to
(Osundina 2016:1947), currency devaluation is not a bad idea to solve
the balance of payment's economic problem in Nigeria given the fact that
some other developing countries have used it as a tool. He further
explained that devaluation of currency tends to favor the exporters but
will cause output to fall since lower real wages will fall due to
contraction of demand. It is these contradictions that spurred the
interest in undertaking this study. Some theorists believe currency
devaluation is good for the economy while some believe it shouldn't be
embarked on. This was also affirmed by Eromosele 2016: 26) in an
argument for and against the Naira devaluation and the solutions
proffered by the former minister of finance in the This day newspaper
where he said the Naira is already undervalued and shouldn't be
devalued.
It is against this background that the
study aims to examine the trend of currency devaluation in Nigeria and
also understand the role of currency devaluation in developing countries
with particular focus on Nigeria.
Objectives of the study.
The main objective of this study is to
examine the role of currency devaluation in developing countries with
particular focus on Nigeria. In order to achieve this objective, the
following are the specific objectives:
1.) To understand currency devaluation in developing countries.
2.) To examine the Genesis and trends of currency devaluation in Nigeria.
3.) To investigate the role of currency devaluation in developing economies.
4.) To seek and determine as far as
possible methods by which the risk associated with exchange rate
fluctuations can be minimized.
Research Questions.
1.) What is the role of currency devaluation in developing countries.
2.) What is the relationship between currency devaluation and economic growth.
3.) How has currency devaluation affected the Nigerian economy and other developing countries.
Research Hypothesis.
1.) Currency devaluation does not significantly affect the economy
2.) Currency devaluation significantly affects the economy.
Significance of the study.
This study is very significant as it
contributes to the literature and would also assist policy makers and
economists in decision making as regards devaluing currency.
The study when carried out will also be
of great benefit to student researchers who have interest in researching
more into currency devaluation and various ways it can affect the
economy. It will act like a guide to student researchers who may find
the recommendations and findings of the study useful.
Scope of the study.
This study will cover currency
devaluation in developing countries and how this has affected their
economies. A case study of Nigeria will be looked at, and a study of
currency devaluation since inception will be taken. In addition to this,
a profile of Nigeria's exchange rate development will be taken.
Limitations of the study.
During the course of this research, a
number of constraints were experienced. The problem of gathering
information. Also, time constraint in carrying out the study is a
limitation.
Definition of terms
1.) Currency Devaluation: this is a
macro-economic fiscal policy that bothers on deliberate reduction in the
value of home currency with the aim of maximizing gain in tradable
items.
2.) Exchange Rate: This is the price one country’s currency expressed in another country’s currency
REFERENCES
1.) Cooper, R. (1971) "Currency Devaluation in Developing Countries" Essays in International Finance, 866.
2.) Fidelis, A. (2014), "People's
Perception of the Impact of Currency Devaluation on the Performance of
Poverty Alleviation Programmes in Nigeria", Developing Country Studies, 4(10): 7-16.
3.) Momodu, A. and Akani, F. (2016), "Impact of Currency Devaluation on Economic Growth of Nigeria", International Journal of Arts and Humanities, 5(1): 151-163.
4.) Osundina, K. and Osundina, J. (2016), "Effectiveness of Naira Devaluation on Economic Growth in Nigeria", International Journal of Science and Research, 5(3): 1944-1948.
5.) Ogundipe, A., Ojeaga, P.,Ogundipe,
O. (2013), "Estimating the Long Run Effects of Exchange Rate Devaluation
on the Trade Balance of Nigeria", European Scientific Journal, 9(25): 233-249.
6.) Eromosele, A. (2016),"Of the Exchange Rate and Devaluation", This day Newspaper, May 18, 2016.