TABLE OF CONTENT
TITLE PAGE
CERTIFICATION
DEDICATION
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
ABSTRACT
TABLE OF CONTENT
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION.
1.1 Background to the Study
1.2 Statement of the problem
1.3 Objective to the Study
1.4 Research Question
1.5 Research Hypothesis
1.6 Scope and Limitation of Study
1.7 Significance the Study
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.0 Introduction
2.1 Investment in Securities
2.2 The Efficient Market Hypothesis
2.3 The Weak Form
2.4 The Semi- Strong Form
2.5 The Strong Form
2.6 Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
2.7 Stock price and Macro Economic Variable
2.8 Stock prices and Inflation
2.9 Stock Prices and Exchanges Rates
2.10 Stock Prices and Money Supply
2.11 The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE)
CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHOD
3.0 Introduction
3.1 Research Design
3.3 Sources of Data
3.4 Primary Data
3.5 Secondary Data
3.6 Sampling Design
3.7 data Collection Instrument
3.8 Administration of Data Collection Instrument
3.9 Procedures for Processing and Analyzing Data
3.10 Limited of the Methodology
CHAPTER FOUR: DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF RESULT
4.0 Introduction
4.1 Analysis of Section A-Response of Respondents
4.2 Analysis Section B-Analysis of Questionnaire
4.3 Test of Hypothesis
CHAPTER FIVE SUMMARY OF FINDINGS.
RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION
5.1 Summary of Major Findings
5.2 Conclusion
5.3 Recommendation
BIBLOGRAPHY
APPENDIX
CHAPTER ONE
INRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND TO OF STUDY
The banking of any country
constitutes a crucial instrument for economic growth and development.
It provides a vehicle for the mobilization of fund from the saving
surplus sectors of an economy to the saving deficit sectors. According
to Duoglal and Gambits (1986) Capital Market comprises of institutions
and mechanism through which intermediate and long-term fund are pooled
and made available to business, government and individuals. This
allocate role of the capital market is vital for the overall development
and growth of an economy. In respect of the vital roles as the capital
in an economy many countries including Nigeria have established or
facilitated the established of the capital markets.
These consists both the
primary (New Issue) market and secondary (Stock). The history of the
Nigeria capital market dates back to 1946 when the first public issue of
securities was stated by the federal government of Nigeria for
infrastructure development.
More so, a lot of
development has taken place in the Nigeria capital market, for example
the Lagos Stock Exchange was incorporated in 1961 as a non-profit
organization limited by guarantee. It was later renamed the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE) in 1977. For now, there are nine branches of the
Nigerian Stock Exchange located in F.C.T Abuja, Lagos, Kaduna, Port
Harcourt, Kano, Ibadan, Onisha, Yola and Benin City. The objective of
the NSE as contained in its memorandums and Article of Association
include among others the provision of facilities for trading in
securities and ensuring fair and equitable prices for securities.
It is significant to note
that the Nigeria Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which is the
apex regulatory body for the Nigeria Capital Market, was established in
1979. The SEC evolved from the capital issue commission which was
created in 1962 to regulate the activities of the Nigeria Capital Market
by protecting investors through orderly fair and equitable dealing in
the market.
Going by the age of the
Nigerian Capital Market one can claim that the market is far from being
adequate. As recently observed by Alile (1994) "lack of adequate long
term capital for economic development has been a lane of African
economic" including that of Nigeria. He therefore opined that fund must
be effectively mobilized to enable these economy use Capital Market
developments as a potential conduct for channeling long term fund to
productive sectors.
Moreover effort of
improving the Nigeria Capital Market the Federal Government of Nigeria
(FGN).recently set up a panel (headed by Odifa) to look into the
activities of the market. One of the most fundamental issues of the
Nigerian Capital Market is the pricing of securities. There has been
disenchantment with the pricing mechanism and the manipulation of share
price movement in the Capital Market in 1993 the SEC role in price
determination was taken away and handed down to the stock brokers and
issuing houses as enunciated in the 1993 Budget pronouncement and
contained in SEC circular reference SEC/60/1/93. This
government decision was as a result of the continuous criticism of the
pricing mechanism of SEC which was perceived as unfair to the investing
public. The accurate pricing of securities is of vital important if it
is to provide a credible vehicle for the efficient allocation of scarce
resources and in tum making the Capital Market a major determinant
country growth and development given the importance of appropriate
pricing of securities in the Nigerian Capital Market, studies are
required to ascertain the impact of certain macro-economic variable on
stock share prices movement in the Nigerian Capital Market. For
instance, it has been argued that macro-economic variables such as
interest rates, inflation rate, foreign exchange rates and money supply
may affect stock price movement although the extents of the effect in
still a matter of conjunction.
The main focus of this
study is to investigate the extent it affect macro-economic variables
such as interest rates, inflation rates, foreign exchange rates and
money supply on stock price movement in the Nigerian Capital Market.
1.1 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
The securities in the banking sector has been a major
area of concern to the market participants and (observers) all and
sundry. It has also been growing concern emphatically by financial
analysis and economist on the determinant of stock prices. In the
Nigerian Newspapers particularly the financial standard, captions such
as pricing of securities queried and frivolous pricing worries
shareholders are reflection of public concern and disenchantment about
stock pricing in the Nigerian Capital Market.
Meanwhile reflecting the views of an observes, Daily
times of Nigeria (1995) has urged stock brokers to reflect through
appropriate pricing of securities the real value of quoted companies _
during a period of inflation and massive devaluation of the National
currency to make prices of equities in the country complete with those
in other international exchanges. Also the effect of their
macro-economic aggregates such as inflation rates, exchange interest
rate and money supply are mostly important.
1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The objective of this study is to- determine the
performance of the financial institution on the micro-finance
institution. When the performance is independent variable and
microfinance is the dependent variable as to determine the employment
rate, sales, Lending services, control of cash flow, savings
- To determine if savings rate enhances employment rate
- To evaluate whether lending services increase employment rate
- To determine if the control of cash flow enhances sales
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
The relevant research questions to address in this study are as follows:
a) Does savings rate enhances employment rate?
b) Does lending services enhances employment rate?
c) Does control cash flow. enhances sales
1.4 RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
Since the objective of
this study is to examine the relationship between the variables and the
study makes a set of testable hypothesis:
The Null hypotheses, Ho and the Alternative hypotheses HI.
Ho: Savings rate does not enhances employment rate Hi: Saving rate enhances employment rate
Hi: Savings rate enhances employment rate Hi: Saving rate enhances employment rate
Ho: lending services does enhances employment rate Hi: Lending service enhances employment rate.
Hi: lending services enhances employment rate Hi: Lending service enhances employment rate.
Ho: Control of cash flow does not enhance sale
Hi: Control of cash flow enhance sale
1.5 SCOPE AND LIMITATION OF STUDY
This study covers the
nature of working capital decisions, the management of the components of
working capital and the relationship between working capital management
and the profitability of Patterson Zochonis Cussons, PIc. It also
covers the relevance of the firm's liquidity and profitability and
lastly, the important consideration in the management of working capital
of Patterson Zochonis Cussons, PIc.
The major limitations
encountered in this study are time and financial constraint and lack of
timely response from interviewers. In addition, there is no existing
adequate data base from which to draw relevant information thereby
causing adhoc in the course of the project.
1.6 SIGNIFICANCE THE STUDY
The capital market is to
facilities a conducive business environment with an efficient and
dependable Mechanism through which long-term financial instruments can
be raised and traded. As economic develop, business organizations will
need long-term finance for long-term project execution of fixed asset
acquisition among others, for which long-term funds are required.
Capacity to effectively
mobilize such long-term funds no doubt calls for efficient and
appropriate pricing of Securities in the Nigerian Capital market so as
to elicit the required response from the investing public. An empirical
study is therefore necessary to examine the macroeconomic variable which
can affect stock prices in the industrial sectors of the Nigerian
Capital Market. This will provide necessary guidance for policy decision
market, brokers and issuing houses who are involved with the pricing of
shares. Likewise, existing studies on the impact of macroeconomics
variable of stock prices were done on yearly and quarterly bases and
they were not analyzed on Seefoval bases.
For Instance Soyoye (1991)
and Yohannes (1994) undertook aggregate analysis of the impact of
macroeconomic variables on stock price movement documented up to (1989).
Also using quarterly data, Amoye (1994) analyzed on the effect of
inflation on stock price movements in Nigeria. Here the research shall
fill this gap by analyzing the determinant of stock prices movements
both in the aggregate and by sector and the impact across selected
industrial sectors of the Nigeria Capita Market.